Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.057395 1.275341 1.506258 1.767269 2.052322 2.352564 2.691123
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.761384 1.058301 1.396097 1.800810 2.265234 2.775124 3.371168
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.592181 0.920996 1.315649 1.807915 2.391173 3.047977 3.832058
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.434676 0.769784 1.196400 1.750930 2.428664 3.210059 4.160663
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.318061 0.647651 1.093193 1.695347 2.452063 3.342463 4.442968
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.236035 0.557044 1.017780 1.663422 2.495030 3.490745 4.737786
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.189890 0.511002 0.995730 1.694667 2.611888 3.724298 5.130857
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.147460 0.461471 0.962210 1.705662 2.699470 3.919798 5.476871
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.104612 0.399515 0.902657 1.675241 2.729323 4.041124 5.731135
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.093666 0.397647 0.934118 1.771114 2.923858 4.367149 6.234573
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.084990 0.398520 0.968980 1.871451 3.124414 4.701246 6.748845
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.079264 0.404730 1.012030 1.983554 3.341004 5.056211 7.289785
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.069643 0.402183 1.044764 2.088248 3.558587 5.426255 7.867329
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.052610 0.375030 1.033940 2.128747 3.690982 5.690895 8.318939
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035729 0.338924 1.002724 2.135266 3.774412 5.890937 8.688666
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.017986 0.283668 0.929518 2.073023 3.759989 5.963221 8.898085
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.006987 0.235014 0.860535 2.011621 3.742520 6.028423 9.096082
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001945 0.199437 0.811027 1.976467 3.758291 6.133840 9.341737
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000548 0.185283 0.804877 2.010908 3.872942 6.369127 9.752048
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000006 0.166853 0.786279 2.023035 3.954485 6.560221 10.106155
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.139854 0.742470 1.989491 3.967576 6.659061 10.341757
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.144965 0.778837 2.095122 4.186190 7.033699 10.931881
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.150970 0.817684 2.205428 4.412228 7.418961 11.536539